ACI presented a nice setup off the 5-min chart but because price had been in the upper part of the OR range (15-min) I decided to wait for a setup at the ORL.
| What I saw at the ORL were 3 consecutive inside bars with upper tails (9, 10 and 11). I took a dummy entry off a break of the 11th bar low. Price dropped immediately and then dropped hard. I always hate wide range bars because you know there will be a pullback... but you don't know how much. So, I tried to be reasonable and wait for price to fall back down but it didn't happen. I partialed on a break of the 1:30 bar high and sold the rest about .10 below my entry.
| | That big blue line you see then is the intraday fib. ext. I noticed this area acts like resistance/support sometimes. It proved to be support today... unfortunately. Overall, I've been seeing the charts much better lately which is good. I wish I would've followed my gut and enter long, PCLN off the 11:15 bar high (:15).
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If you all remember, I decided to abandon the 5-min chart last November due to changes in my personal life. Well... those changes have - well, changed. I've actually had the opportunity to trade the 5-min chart for about a month but got so used to the :15 and :30 that I just forgot about it.
However, after seeing some posts by Tom C. and my own recent struggles to find good opportunities, I figured I would revisit the faster timeframe. I like what I saw and will open a new window on every trade with the 5-min chart.
The good thing is that I don't really have to change much of my current trading style to accomodate the faster timeframe. In fact, I think the 5-min chart can actually help shorten my watchlist and keep me focused and better setups. And, I may start adding to my position if I get in early on the 5 and find another setup on the 15 later on.
We shall see.
I couldn't trade today but if you look at AMKR (10th bar) and NTGR (17th bar) on the 5-min chart... you'll see some nice entries.
If anyone wanted a good example of the inherit risks of trading... look no further than today's CEPH chart. It was in my watchlist as it gapped up and there were a couple of areas I looked to enter but never did. However, at 1pm the bottom dropped out of the stock. Even if you had a stop in place... you would've been burnt by major slippage. If you didn't have a stop... you were toast. I'm still wondering how this could happen on a stock that gapped up and had a fairly orderly rise to the ORH and then BAM!
Maybe some of you guys can offer theories as to how and why this could happen?
Today's TAP trade is what I absolutely look for in every setup. Strong first bar, orderly 3 bar pullback (2 down bars) into the 5ema. Entry bar was strong with very little upper tail. I exited my entire position after a 1 point gain (including the entry... there were 6 straight up bars in a row before I exited). The long lower tails on the bars after entry did make this a 'white knuckle' trade at times.
Stopped out of both of my trades today. Went long on the ES and was stopped out at what is now the low of the day. Incredible... then it pops up over 20 points. The one thing I find hard to do with futures is reduce risk (other than taking just 1 contract). I'm trading off the 5-min chart right now and when the trade goes against me it could be a wide stop. So far the winners vastly outweigh the losers but when the losses happen it could be a good size loss.
I also traded MPWR off the :30 (8th bar) and that just flat out sucked. I liked the inside, NR, strong bar entry but I was below the ORH and there were some upper tails before it. While it met my criteria for entry, I really should've waited for it to close above the ORH before initiating a position.
Went long ER2 for a 1.3 point loss. Took my signal and it went against me. Didn't see any stocks that looked good enough for an entry.
I managed another 6 point gain off a short of the ES early this morning. The gain was a bit of a double-edged sword as it put me in a position of only wanting to take 'great' setups in equities. I wish I would've taken WMS as it had an overwhelming amount of good qualities. My only concern was that my entry bar was below the ORH coming off a steady downtrend. The next bar would have been a nice entry as well but it was outside of my rules and I wasn't in the mood to start straying.
Finally got an honest-to-goodness alert to trade ES today. Managed to go long and take away 6 points. The way I'm approaching futures doesn't provide for many signals but when they come along they're usually worth it. I may have mentioned this before but here are my futures goals per week (any single one option will work):
| -6 ER2 points -12 ES points -3 ER2 points, 6 ES points | I'd like to make these kinds of gains consistently with my current system before decided to jack up the contract amounts. | So, since today's ES trade finished by around 10:20 I spent the rest of the day being an equities snob.
| "No, you're not good enough!" "Pffft... as if I'm going to enter with that lower tail.""Yeah, let's talk when you hit the ORL, okay???" | I did place an order to short CAKE but it was never triggered.
I may get one of these for trading when I move back to the states:
| | I also can't wait to take the 'work' out of 'workout'.
Boy finds stock. Boy shorts stock. Boy adjusts stop to near breakeven after 1R gain. Boy gets fucked as price hits his adjusted stop earning him decent change but then reverses and falls back down to the original price target which was the fib. ext and boy now feels stupid that he didn't just keep his original stop especially on the :30 chart which he knows he has to be patient on and then ends up writing one of the longest run on sentences in the history of daytrading blogs. Boy posts chart. Boy says goodnight. Boy mentions he hasn't traded futures the last two days either.
Another late post - sorry - but I crashed after my ZOLT trade. I entered shorted off a break of the very weak 12:15 candle (marabuzo). Spread started acting funny which worried me but I stuck with it. I exited during the 2:15 bar because a) I was happy with the profit and b) it's hard to trade with your eyes half shut. Also, $33.15 was a strong daily pivot area and I didn't want to risk a hard bounce there.
No, I'm not a Giants nor Patriots fan but there is one channel here in Paris that carries North American sports and I stayed up to watch the game. Why?? Well, I figured it would be an historic game no matter what the outcome. If the Patriots win they'll just add to their dynasty and, of course, attain the perfect season. If the Giants win, well... they would've beaten the most prolific offense in NFL history. While I'm blurry eyed as I write this, I still can't believe Manning didn't get sacked during that play and the receiver actually caught the ball. Just an amazing play. One that I'm so glad I watched live (on TV).
And, come on, did you really want to win: Brady - Mr. GQ, 3-time Super Bowl winner, who bangs a supermodel after dumping his pregnant girlfriend but still comes across as squeaky clean or Eli - the pimple-popping QB with the 'gosh darnit' attitude who just doesn't seem to fit in the dog-eat-dog world of New York City? If you weren't rooting for Eli you most likely use the term 'wicked' throughout the day. Congrats to the Giants!
Had a bunch of stuff to do Friday night and Saturday morning so sorry I couldn't put up a post. Had a trade that was good then turned bad... DRIV (not the best setup but I made the case to enter). What saved the day was ALTR. It wasn't the greatest of opening bars but did manage to pop through the ORH and retrace back. I entered on a break of the 1pm bar high and selling during the 2:15 bar.
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